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DRAFTED BY: AF/C: CSFULLER-(AF)
APPROVED BY: AF/C: RCPORTER
CA54F2 112116Z /38
0 P 112113Z JUN 93
FM SECSTATE WASHDC
TO AMEMBASSY KIGALI IMMEDIATE
INFO AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY PARIS PRIORITY
USMISSION USUN NEW YORK PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BAMAKO
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY BRAZZAVILLE
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA
AMEMBASSY DAKAR
AMEMBASSY HARARE
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
AMEMBASSY LAGOS
AMEMBASSY LILONGWE
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AMEMBASSY
USCINCEUR
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
STATE 177847 112114Z
NAIROBI
VAIHINGEN GE
TUNIS
YAOUNDE
LIMITED OFFICIAL USE STATE 177847
LILONGWE AND YAOUNDE FOR DATT
E.O. 12356: N/A
TAGS: PREL MOPS MARR RW OAU UN
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: JOHN L MILLS
DATE/CASE ID: 01 NOV 2007 200103014
UNCLASSIFIED
DODE-00
10-19
OMB-01
SR-00
UNCLASSIFIED
SUBJECT: RWANDA: ARUSHA PEACE TALKS WINDING DOWN
U.S. OBSERVER JOYCE LEADER PROVIDED THE FOLLOWING REPORT
FROM ARUSHA.
WINDING DOWN
1. SINCE THE JUNE 9 SIGNING OF THE PROTOCOL ON REFUGEE
RETURN AND THE REINSTALLATION OF DISPLACED PERSONS, THE
GOR AND RPF DELEGATIONS HAVE BEEN WORKING FACE-TO-FACE ON
OUTSTANDING MILITARY ISSUES AND PUSHING AHEAD ON
CONSTITUTIONAL QUESTIONS AND THE DURATION OF THE
TRANSITION. TANZANIANS WILL PUSH BOTH SIDES TO SET A DATE
FOR THE SIGNING OF THE PEACE ACCORD BEFORE THE OAU SUMMIT
IN CAIRO.
FORCE PROPORTIONS
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STATE 177847 112114Z
2. A SMALL JOINT GOR-RPF TEAM HAS BEEN WORKING ON
APPLICATION OF THE FORCE PROPORTION RATIO TO THE ARMY,
INCLUDING THE QUESTION OF THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE COMMAND
LEVEL WILL BE INTEGRATED AT 50-50. THE GOR DELEGATION HAS
YET TO RECEIVE FORMAL INSTRUCTIONS TO ACCEPT THE 40-60
RATIO AGREED IN KIGALI EARLIER IN THE WEEK, BUT THE
FOREIGN MINISTER TOLD U.S. OBSERVER THAT HE EXPECTS THE
COUNCIL OF MINISTERS TO ENDORSE THIS AT ITS 6/11 MEETING
AND IS PROCEEDING ACCORDINGLY. (DEPARTMENT COMMENT:
AMBASSADOR FLATEN INFORMED US LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON THAT
THE CABINET DID ENDORSE THE RATIO, BUT ATTACHED ADDITIONAL
CONDITIONS. HE BELIEVED INSTRUCTIONS WERE BEING SENT TO
THE GOR DELEGATION IN ARUSHA FRIDAY NIGHT. END COMMENT)
GENDARMERIE, ETC.
3. THE ISSUE OF HOW TO INTEGRATE THE GENDARMERIE WHILE
MAINTAINING SECURITY IS STILL PENDING. BOTH SIDES HAVE
ACCEPTED THE CONCEPT OF PHASING INTEGRATION, POSSIBLY OVER
A TWO-YEAR PERIOD, SO RPF MEMBERS CAN RECEIVE THE BASIC
6-MONTH GENDARME TRAINING. LOOSE ENDS STILL EXIST ON THE
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
DEMILITARIZATION OF KIGALI AND THE TIMING OF THE FORMATION
OF THE BROAD-BASED GOVERNMENT. THE RPF HAS, HOWEVER, MADE
SEVERAL IMPORTANT CONCESSIONS BY ACCEPTING DISENGAGEMENT
ARRANGEMENTS INSISTED UPON BY THE FACILITATOR: HEAVY
WEAPONS STORAGE SITES WILL BE GUARDED ONLY BY THE NEUTRAL
INTERNATIONAL FORCE (NIP); THE NIF WILL DETERMINE WHERE
ASSEMBLY POINTS AND CANTONMENT SITES WILL BE LOCATED (NMOG
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STATE 177847 112114Z
GENERAL OPALEYE TOLD THE TANZANIAN DELEGATION 6/7 THAT THE
CURRENT RPF TERRITORY IS LIKELY TO SUFFICE FOR THE RPF
SIDE, EVEN TAKING INTO CONSIDERATION RETURN OF THE
DISPLACED); ROCKET-PROPELLED GRENADE LAUNCHERS (RPG'S)
WILL BE CONSIDERED "HEAVY WEAPONS."
CONSTITUTIONAL ISSUES
4. THE RPF HAS APPARENTLY DROPPED ITS DEMAND FOR
SUSPENSION OF THE CONSTITUTION, POSSIBLY UNDER DIPLOMATIC
PRESSURE FROM UGANDA'S OBSERVER INSPIRED BY THE
TANZANIANS. GOVERNMENT DELEGATES SAY THE RPF PROVIDED
LANGUAGE FOR A CLAUSE AMENDING THE CONSTITUTION WHICH
WOULD CITE THE ARTICLES OVER WHICH THE PROVISIONS OF THE
PEACE ACCORD WILL TAKE PRECEDENCE. THEY SAY THE AMENDMENT
WILL BE MADE HERE WITHOUT RELYING ON THE NATIONAL
ASSEMBLY, BUT THIS REMAINS TO BE CLARIFIED. HOWEVER, ON
6/11 AN RPF DELEGATION LEADER, WHO HAD ARGUED FORCEFULLY
TO THE U.S. OBSERVER ON 6/9 FOR SUSPENSION OF THE
CONSTITUTION, SAID THAT THE ISSUE WAS STILL OPEN WITH
THREE RPF PROPOSALS ON THE TABLE.
DURATION OF THE TRANSITION
5. THIS REMAINS CONTENTIOUS. THE GOVERNMENT PROPOSES 6
MONTHS FOLLOWING THE INTEGRATION OF THE ARMY, OR ABOUT 15
MONTHS. THE RPF HAS REITERATED ITS DEMAND FOR A 4-YEAR
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STATE
177847 112114Z
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TRANSITION TO ALLOW FOR: 1) THE ARMY TO FUNCTION AS ONE
UNIT; 2) THE RPF TO IMPLANT ITSELF AS A POLITICAL ENTITY
INSIDE RWANDA; AND 3) THE ESTABLISHMENT OF PROCEDURES TO
ALLOW REFUGEES TO PARTICIPATE IN THE POLITICAL PROCESS
(BACKING AWAY FOR EARLIER DEMAND FOR ALL REFUGEES TO HAVE
RETURNED BEFORE THE ELECTIONS). IT SEEMS LIKELY TO
OBSERVERS THAT COMPROMISE MAY BE FOUND AT TWO TO TWO AND A
HALF YEARS.
NMOG EXPANSION
6. OAU OBSERVER ADVISES THAT THE OAU IS MOVING FORWARD ON
PUTTING A 240-MAN FORCE IN THE BUFFER ZONE AS SOON AS
POSSIBLE, WITH THE INTENTION OF TRYING TO EXPAND FURTHER,
TO A FULL BATTALION, ONCE THE PEACE ACCORD IS SIGNED. HE
IS CHECKING WITH ADDIS ABOUT WHY THE ROSS REPORT, STATING
FORCE REQUIREMENTS, HAS NOT BEEN MADE AVAILABLE TO DONORS.
UN/OAU COOPERATION
7. FOREIGN MINISTER NGULINZIRA HAD UN OBSERVER INFORM THE
UN/SYG THAT THE GOR DOES NOT/NOT WANT A UN-LED FORCE IN
THE BUFFER ZONE BEFORE THE PEACE ACCORD IS SIGNED. THIS
IS AN EFFORT TO COUNTER THE NEGATIVE FALL-OUT FROM THE
PRESIDENT'S LETTER TO THE UN/SYG DELIVERED BY DEFENSE
MINISTER GASANA THAT FOUND ITS WAY INTO BOTH THE BARIL
REPORT (PARA 6) AND THE DRAFT SECURITY COUNCIL RESOLUTION
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STATE 177847 112114Z
ON THE BORDER FORCE (PARA 8). THIS AND THE PROPOSED
BORDER FORCE ARE APPARENTLY CAUSING THE RPF TO STALL ON
SEEKING AN EARLY RECONNAISSANCE MISSION FOR THE UN-LED
PEACE-KEEPING FORCE FOR AFTER THE ACCORD IS SIGNED. A
JOINT LETTER ENDORSING THE UN-LED FORCE AND REQUESTING A
RECONNAISSANCE MISSION IS IN DRAFT.
COMMENT
8. NEGOTIATIONS ARE WINDING DOWN. KEY WILL BE GOR
COUNCIL OF MINISTER'S ENDORSEMENT OF THE FORCE PROPORTIONS
UNCLASSIFIED
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LEVEL, ALTHOUGH BOTH SIDES ARE PROCEEDING AS IF IT IS A
FAIT ACOMMPLI. U.S. OBSERVER PREDICTS NEGOTIATIONS MAY
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEK OF JUNE 14, ENDING BY THE 15TH OR
16TH. THE SIGNING COULD BE SET FOR JUNE 24-25, JUST PRIOR
TO THE CAIRO OAU SUMMIT JUNE 28-29. END COMMENT.
TARNOFF
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